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Googled: The End of the World As We Know It

Googled: The End of the World as We Know It
400 pages, Penguin Press, $27.95

Writer Ken Auletta ponders the question of whether Google will become more than a one trick pony in Googled: The End of the World as We Know It.

Mr. Auletta gives credit to Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer with the one-trick description of Google because 97% of its revenue comes from online-advertising revenue. But Larry Ellison, Oracle's chief executive, said in an interview in 2008 in response to Mr. Balmer's comment, "But it's one helluva trick."

Google's search capabilities have grown into a powerful profit machine expected to generate earnings of $22.77 a share for 2009, up 17% from 2008, and $17.38 billion in revenue, up 18% from a year earlier.

Advertising dollars continue to abandon traditional media and flood the Internet where Google has brilliantly cornered the market in paid online search, with about a 66% market share of total search.

Mr. Auletta is an accomplished chronicler of media. Mr. Auletta uses his personal access to Co-Presidents Sergey Brin, and Larry Page, 36, who founded the company, as well as to CEO Eric Schmidt.

Mr. Auletta captures Google's unorthodox management troika, all computer scientists who have defied convention in nearly every way, including the astounding choice to share the top job. All three must sign off on nearly every major decision.

Mr. Auletta's book has two major themes. One is the inside story of Google and how it works while the other is about how the engineers of the internet changed advertising and media forever.

Will Google ever become more than a one-trick pony? Mr. Auletta doesn't fully answer that question, but he does provide evidence that Google is capable of diversifying successfully. Mr. Auletta also describes the problems that might cause the company to fail to do so, including size, hubris, distraction, government opposition and the audacity of engineers toiling in garages everywhere.

What the author makes clear is that Google has made engineers not MBAs or marketers the most important employees. The founders created a company that focuses on customers first and is obsessed with making information free to everyone in the most effective way.

Monetization of the idea came well after Brin and Page set out to build the best search engine.

Source.

Filed under  //   Eric Schmidt   Google   Googled: The End of the World as We Know It   Ken Auletta   Larry Ellison   Larry Page   Sergey Brin   Steve Ballmer  

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Barron's Online Q&A with Ian Warmerdam

Ian Warmerdam is the director of investments for the Henderson Global Technology Fund (ticker: HFGAX).

Mr. Warmerdam studied technology and business at the University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland and completed a postgraduate degree in investment from the University of Stirling, Scotland. His hobbies include mountain biking, hiking and windsurfing. Barron's Online recerntly interviewed Mr. Warmerdam.

Mr. Warmerdam says he was able to outperform his peers by examining niches of the stock market that show strong secular growth over time. He does this by seeing how the world is changing and how technology is influencing these changes. The fund picks companies with a sustainable competitive advantage. The fund uses a strong valuation bias that protects them to a certain extent.

The fund also uses some behavioral finance techniques, like the psychology of markets and of participants, which means using a bit of a contrarian strategy at times like avoiding an industry when it is hot and buying into a sector when is depressed.

When asked about what companies Mr. Warmerdam is currently excited about, he mentioned Tencent Holdings, a Chinese Internet company traded on the Hong Kong stock exchange (SEHK 700). The company is a leading instant messaging company in China that has a very loyal and large base of instant messaging users.

Tencent Holdings become a successful social networking company, a kind of Facebook of China, while also being successful at online strategy games.

Mr. Warmerdam also mentioned VistaPrint (VPRT), a company that offers small businesses huge cost savings in marketing and customized print materials like business cards and stationery, offering an 80% to 90% cost savings compared to local copy shops.

When asked about well known companies like Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL), Mr. Warmerdam said:

One of the primary themes of our portfolio construction is Internet advertising. This is a very strong secular group story. In Western markets, according to many surveys, we are now spending 30% or more of our media time online, as opposed to watching television or listening to the radio. In many cases, probably a lot more than that.

And yet Internet advertising, even in the U.S., which is a very mature market, accounts for less than 10% of advertising spent. We very much think that's a gap that is going to close over time, and additionally we are probably going to spend even more time online in the future.

Mr. Warmerdam believes that Google leads in Internet advertising around the world. Mr. Warmerdam also likes Baidu (BIDU),  the Google of China.

Mr. Warmerdam has invested in Apple since he believes the company has created barriers to entry and created a real network effect through the iTunes store and through the applications store.

In the tech area, Mr. Warmerdam is avoiding the commodity areas and underweighting semiconductors, PC manufacturers and the components market.

Source.

Filed under  //   Apple   Google   Henderson Global Technology Fund   Ian Warmerdam   Tencent Holdings   VistaPrint  

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The Year The Media Died

Filed under  //   ABC   Advertising Age   Adweek   CBS   CNBC   Comcast Corp.   CPMs   CW   Digital Revolution   eCPM   Fox   Google   L. McDuff   Mad Avenue Blues   Mad Men   Madison Avenue   MTV   NBC Universal   New York Times   Omnicom Group   Publicis Groupe   Time Warner   Upfront Buys   Viacom   WPP   YouTube  

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Topsy Launches Real Time Twitter Search

Wall Street Journal's Venture Capital Dispatch reported that Topsy Labs Inc. , launched Topsy.com, a new form of Internet search engine for Twitter and links on Twitter on May 27, 2009. The company is backed by almost $15 million in venture equity and debt.

TechCrunch said that Topsy is not strictly speaking a real time search engine. Topsy is just a search engine that has a new way of finding good results: Twitter users.

Here is what Topsy says about itself on its webpage:

Topsy is a new kind of search engine, with a new way of looking at the Internet. Topsy doesn't think the Internet is a collection of documents. Or even a web of documents. Topsy sees the Internet as a stream of conversations. Topsy treats people differently from the webpages they create and the things they say. And Topsy sees that people in every community are connected in a web of relationships, where each person influences other people to read, talk and think about things.

Topsy listens to the conversations taking place all the time on the living, social web. This is the rapidly growing, exciting world of Twitter, Blogs, Flickr, Digg, Yelp, Identica and many other communities. People use these communities to share reviews, opinions, messages, comments and discussions about things. Topsy indexes those things. Topsy indexes what people are talking about.

Tomio Geron of Venture Capital Dispatch writes:

Topsy provides search results on a topic based on the influence of the person who is writing the Tweet. That influence is measured by how many times people have "re-tweeted," or reposted, that person’s messages, as well as the number of people who "follow" or read the person’s posts. In other words, people who have their messages forwarded the most have the most influence. Topsy also aggregates links to outside Web pages from Twitter that have been garbled with URL shorteners that have become popular on Twitter.

Since web pages are not the only places where people are posting content or links, and web pages are not as quickly updated with conversations as Twitter is, Topsy provides a way to search for what is being discussed. The company is starting with Twitter but could eventually move into other online applications and communities.

Gary Iwatani, a co-founder of the company, told VentureWire:

We saw this shift going on and wanted to come up with a new paradigm for interpreting signals going on on the Internet. We wanted to tap into the original source of the signals, which were the authors of the citations themselves. So we developed a platform that can parse these signals from the entire social Web.

According to Venture Capital Dispatch, Topsy was seed-funded with $900,000 from angel investor Scott Banister in January 2008 and received $11 million in a second round in December 2008 led by Blue Run Ventures, along with Ignition Partners, Founders Fund, and Scott Banister. In March 2009, it raised $3 million in venture debt from Western Technology Investment.

Source.

Filed under  //   Blogs   Blue Run Ventures   Digg   Flickr   Founders Fund   Gary Iwatani   Google   Ignition Partners   Scott Banister   Search Engine   Topsy Labs Inc.   Twitter   Western Technology Investment   Yelp  

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Start-Up 23andMe Raises Additional $11M

23andMe Gets $11M Boost to Decode Your DNA
By Camille Ricketts, VentureBeat.com

23andMe, the company that deciphers consumers’ genomes for them, has raised $11 million of an anticipated $24.26 million second round of capital. The company was cofounded by Anne Wojcicki, wife of Google co-founder Sergey Brin.

The firm didn’t disclose its recent investors, but peHub noted this morning that venture capital firm Mohr Davidow Ventures has just divested from the company. While MDV first acquired shares in 23andMe, it sold them back to the company 18 months ago after deciding to back competitor Navigenics instead, avoiding a potential conflict of interest.

It declined to provide further details on why it chose one company over the other. “I can’t give the specifics of the financial negotiations, but suffice to say that MDV’s financial and management interests were best served by our investment and position in Navigenics,” Pamela Mahoney, a partner at the firm, told VentureBeat.

23andMe and Navigenics provide roughly the same information, but operate somewhat differently. Consumers interested in knowing more about their genetics can order a kit off of 23andMe’s web site for $399.

After spitting in a test tube and mailing it back to the lab, they can view comprehensive information about their genes, disease predispositions and other information via a secure web site.

Results take about six to eight weeks to generate. Navigenics, on the other hand, offers two different packages. The first, for $2,500, provides results of a series of tests for a list of specific health conditions also based on a sample of saliva. It also covers genetic counseling to help clients understand and take action based on their results.

The second package, for $499, provides results of tests and counseling for only 10 common conditions.

Based on this breakdown, it seems that 23andMe is not only more affordable, but also supplies its clients with more holistic information. Navigenics appears to place more emphasis on the medical steps to be taken after the genetic data is delivered, but it’s questionable how many people will actually require or want counseling or diagnostic services after receiving their reports.

It’s unclear why MDV, which specializes partially in personalized medicine, has anointed Navigenics the better bet, but maybe it has something new in store.

23andMe raised its $9 million first round of funding from Google, Genentech and New Enterprise Associates in addition to MDV. It also competes with Icelandic company deCODEme, and Boston-based Knome.

Source.

Filed under  //   23andMe   Anne Wojcicki   deCODEme   Genentech   Google   Knome   MDV-Mohr Davidow Ventures   Navigenics   New Enterprise Associates   Pamela Mahoney   Sergey Brin  

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Weekend Interview with Twitter's Williams and Stone

The Twitter Revolution by Michael S. Malone, WSJ.com

"Twitter is the side project that took," says company co-founder Biz Stone, 35. "Now it's our chance to do something transformative."

When I arrive at Twitter's headquarters on a recent morning, Jerry Brown is waiting in the lobby, just another day at the world's hottest high-tech company. "It's pretty bizarre," says co-founder Evan Williams, 37. "At least once per day we look at each and say, 'What the hell?' It's like we're living out the script of the ultimate start-up company story."

But other than the familiar face of California's attorney general standing near the steel front door, you would hardly know that this little company of about 30 employees is the epicenter of the Web, used by an estimated 20 million Americans on a daily, even minute-by-minute, basis. Just how fast Twitter is growing is a company secret, but its traffic appears to be more than doubling every month.

The company itself seems calm and casual. The employees drift in, grab some free food and eventually make their way to their desks. It's located in an anonymous warehouse just a couple blocks from South Park, the once-frenzied environs of the dot-com companies of the first Internet boom.

In his sports shirt and slacks, sipping a bottle of apple juice, Mr. Williams exhibits indifference to the trappings of success. So does Mr. Stone, who last year won an Oxford Union debate wearing a borrowed bow tie and a pair of black sneakers.

The company is hiring like crazy, it expects to double its size in the next month or two, and is also adding a senior management, notably new vice-president of global operations Santosh Jayaram, hired away from Google. "We've never had a company that grew past 15 to 20 people," says Mr. Stone, "We're kind of excited about that."

Even faster than Google, Amazon and eBay in their days, the three-year-old Twitter has become deeply embedded in the culture. President Barack Obama twittered the words, "We just made history," on the night of his election. It was a twittered image that first captured the forced landing of US Airways Flight 1549 in the Hudson River.

Scores of people trapped in the Mumbai terrorist attack twittered desperately for help. And in a much discussed event, a San Francisco technology writer twittered his surprise to discover his home was being broken into.

Strictly speaking, Twitter is a social networking application that enables users to post short text messages,  called tweets, of no more than 140 characters on their personal feed. These real-time diary entries can then be read by other users, called "followers," who have subscribed to that page.

Twitter is much more than a novel way to share updates of one's daily life with friends. It's now evolved into a powerful new marketing and communications tool. Regional emergency preparedness organizations are looking at Twitter as a way to reach millions of people during a disaster.

NASA is using it to regularly update interested parties about the status of space shuttle flights. And one journalist solicited help from fellow Twitterers to get himself out of an Egyptian jail. It worked.

The real Twitter revolution may prove to be much more everyday. When I stop for a latte at Peet's Coffee on the way to the interview, the manager tells me that he plans to start sending out tweets to let regular customers know when a table is open. He isn't alone.

A Manhattan bakery twitters when warm cookies come out of the oven. "It's those small stories that really inspire us," says Mr. Stone. "Those are the things that transform people's lives."

Mr. Stone vividly remembers the first time he appreciated the power of Twitter. He and his now-wife had just bought a house in Berkeley and, having spent the day scraping up carpet and painting walls, he was tired and sweaty. "That's when I got a twitter from Evan saying, 'Up in Sonoma drinking pinot noir after a massage.' I just started laughing. That's when I realized that this technology could be entertaining too," as opposed to a basic communications tool, he says.

"It took us a while to figure out that it really was a big deal," says Mr. Williams. It was at the annual South by Southwest tech conference/music festival in Austin, Texas, in March 2008, that the social power of Twitter came home to the co-founders. "I found myself watching groups of people twittering each other to coordinate their actions, which bar to go to, which speech to attend, and it was like seeing a flock of birds in motion," says Mr. Stone.

As with many Web entrepreneurs, Messrs. Williams and Stone took unconventional paths to success.

Mr. Williams was born on a soybean, corn and cattle farm near Clarks, Neb., pop. 361, where he attended the single public school there. In a class of just 14, he took part in everything from sports to band. "In a school that small, everyone does it all," he says.

But he was an indifferent student and felt like a black sheep at home, too. His father and brother loved to farm and hunt, while Evan, a vegetarian, preferred to read and ponder schemes for building enterprises.

Eventually he made it to the University of Nebraska, but he never declared a major, took as few classes as possible, and eventually dropped out. In the years that followed, Mr. Williams drifted around the country, Key West, Dallas, Austin, working various technology jobs and trying to pursue start-ups.

But every time he got started on one idea, some new idea would pop into his head, luring him away and preventing him from ever following through on a project. "It was turning into a constant pattern," Mr. Williams recalls.

By 1996, Mr. Williams found himself back on the family farm, with little money and few prospects. "I was in the dumps," he recalls. He had long worshipped California's Silicon Valley from afar, and now, with nothing to lose, he decided to move there. "Unfortunately, my aim was a little off," he says, since he landed in the farming town of Sebastopol in Marin County, working for the old-guard media/conference firm O'Reilly Inc.

In the end, that proved fortuitous. What began as a marketing job ended up as an independent contractor job writing computer code, and in short order, Mr. Williams parlayed that into freelance work with legendary Valley companies like Intel and Hewlett-Packard. "For the first time, I learned what it was like to work in an office and have a normal career. To be in real meetings. I also learned that I didn't want to do that."

Did Mr. Williams ever feel that there was something wrong with his inability to hold a traditional job? "No," he says. "I always figured there was something wrong with everybody else."

In 1999, Mr. Williams teamed up with another contractor, Meg Hourihan, and founded Pyra Labs to make management software. A much admired product which allowed managers to handle complex projects online, Pyra earned him a reputation as a brilliant entrepreneur who didn't know how to make money.

"The truth is," Mr. Williams protests, "we had revenues from the first day . . . there just wasn't enough of them." It should have ended in yet another business failure -- but in computer parlance, Mr. Williams decided to 'turn a bug into a feature.' This meant taking one of his distracting brainstorms and turning it into a company.

The new company, called Blogger.com -- Mr. Williams invented the term -- which was developed from a note-taking application on Pyra, was the original blog prototype. It proved to be one of the few successes of the era. Better yet, Mr. Williams even managed to nail down some real venture investment just as the bubble burst.

Mr. Williams finally had a real company and real money. Now he needed a team.

Enter Christopher Isaac "Biz" Stone. Raised in Wellesley, Mass., Mr. Stone had an early love for graphic arts and theater. But at the University of Massachusetts, he too had proven to be a distracted student, and when a job at publisher Little, Brown evolved from moving boxes to designing book covers, Mr. Stone dropped out of college.

In the years that followed, he, like Mr. Williams, discovered a natural gift for Web design and programming. In fact, the two young men had admired each other's work from opposite coasts.

So when Evan invited Biz to join Blogger, Biz moved West. He arrived just in time to get the news that Google decided to acquire Blogger. Messrs. Williams and Mr. Stone, neither of whom technically qualified for the CV-obsessed company, were suddenly Google employees.

The gig lasted 20 months and both men say they thoroughly enjoyed it. Mr. Williams even met his future wife at the firm. But the entrepreneurship gene couldn't be denied forever. And in 2005, both men decided to strike out on their own. "It was about the toughest decision I ever made," recalls Mr. Stone, "and if I'd known how high Google stock would go, I'm not sure I would have made it."

Once out of Google, Mr. Williams teamed with another entrepreneur, Noah Glass, to found Odeo, a podcasting company. It was a brilliant plan, until Apple decided to offer its own podcasting application in iTunes. Says Biz, who had also joined the firm, "I remember asking Evan, 'Do you really want to be the King of Podcasting?' And he said, 'No.' And that was it." Looking back, Mr. Williams says, "I didn't follow my gut. I intellectualized myself into Odeo."

Mr. Williams had taken venture capital money to build Odeo and to change its business model, and he had to buy out those investors with a big chunk of his Blogger cash. Once again abandoning the main idea for a sidelight, he transformed Odeo into Twitter by stripping down and selling off the podcasting component and keeping the social-networking tool, the last a concept proposed by Jack Dorsey, now Twitter chairman.

Under the guise of a fun communications tool, Twitter is building one of the world's most valuable real-time information caches. And as Twitter's profile continues to explode, Oprah just sent her first tweet on yesterday's show, many wonder whether the company will ever find a revenue model.

Others speculate about who will buy the young company. Google seems to be the leading candidate. "We know there are a lot of people looking at Twitter right now," says Mr. Stone.

For now, Messrs. Williams and Stone are keeping their plans secret. With patient investors who just put in $35 million in third-round funding, the company is in no hurry. Mr. Stone will only say that "we are enamored with the idea of going all the way." Adds Mr. Williams: "We want to have as large an impact as possible."

Mr. Williams says that the amount of money it would take to buy Twitter right now is more than any company could justify to its shareholders, but suggests three other possible scenarios.

First, that Twitter could go public, probably without him, as he has little interest in running a public company. Second, Twitter could remain private and somehow buy out its investors. Or third, they discover some other option no one has thought of yet.

Of course, there's still one more possibility: Yet another one of Mr. Williams's obsessive distractions, as he calls them. Lately, he's been pondering a way to revolutionize email.

Source.

Filed under  //   Amazon.com   Biz Stone   Blogger.com   Christopher Isaac "Biz" Stone   eBay   Evan Williams   Google   Hewlett-Packard   Jack Dorsey   Jerry Brown   Meg Hourihan   NASA   Noah Glass   Obama   Odeo   Podcasting   Pyra   Santosh Jayaram   South by Southwest   Tweets   Twitter   US Airways Flight 1549   Venture Capital  

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Google's Revenues Decrease for the First Time

For the first time in its short history as a public company, revenues fell last quarter as advertising woes dented its cash cow search advertising business. But Google didn’t have to work very hard to boost its margins and keep earnings chugging along. Google has ample room to weather the downturn by varying its costs and increasing its dominance.

The search giant brought in $5.51bn of revenues last quarter, just shy of Wall Street’s expectations and a 3% decrease from the quarter before. That’s the first time Google’s top line has fallen in the four years since its initial public offering.

The drop-off comes as advertisers are spending less money online, especially in once-key segments like the automotive and financial industries. Indeed, Google’s Adsense advertising program saw its revenues fall 3% compared to the same period last year.

But the chinks in Google’s armour are still microscopic. Despite its slowing revenue base, the company became more efficient, bumping its operating margin by 1 percentage point to an impressive 34%. It did so while only losing 58 jobs out of more than 20,000 in what looks to have been one of the worst quarters for US employment in a generation. That led to an 8% annual increase in earnings despite the revenue slowdown.

And Google’s free cash flow last quarter was a whopping $2bn, boosted by its fourth straight quarter of lower capital expenditures. All of this underlines the variables Google has to insure stable profits without sacrificing its competitive position.

In fact, Google’s near-monopolistic search share keeps growing. Its share of US searches last month was almost 64%, its highest share yet and well above Yahoo and Microsoft’s shares of 21% and 8%, respectively, according to Comscore.

Google’s hefty cash flow and fat margins will allow it to continue reinvesting in its dominant search business. Of course times may get tougher yet. But Google has barely begun cutting the fat, which it could do if necessary. Google may not be the unstoppable money machine that investors valued it at a few years ago. But to its competitors, it probably still feels like one.

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Filed under  //   Advertising   Comscore   Google   Microsoft   Yahoo  

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Should eBay Set PayPal Free?

The Wall Street Journal's Heard on the Street column says that eBay's statement that Skype can maximize its potential as a stand-alone company sounds dubious.

Although growing at a rapid rate with 405 millions registered users and a 44% boost in revenue to $551 million, the Skype's free calls between Skype users will limit revenue growth. Isn't the reason people use Skype is because it's free?

Analyst Jim Friedland at Cowen & Co. points out that the more people register to use Skype, the bigger the pool of people who can communicate for free by calling each other.

eBay may already know what a strategic buyer would pay. Its decision to announce a public offering for Skype, weeks after hinting it was willing to sell, suggests no one offered the price it wanted. Source.

Breakingviews.com thinks that while spinning off Skype is a good idea, why not also set PayPal free. The potential $2bn in cash from the Skype IPO would be nice for eBay shareholders who have suffered a 50% fall in the price of its stock price within the last year.

While Ebay’s auction business saw its revenues grow only 1% last year, Paypal’s jumped by 26%, and it expects Paypal’s revenues to double over the next three years to $5bn, with operating profit margins of 20%.

PayPal could be worth $15bn based on using rival payment processor Visa’s 2011 estimated earnings multiple. As an independent company, PayPal could be worth even more since it will no longer be part of a conglomerate discount and it get potentially more business from current eBay competitors like Google and Amazon since it would no longer be part of a rival. Source.

Filed under  //   Amazon.com   Cowen & Co.   eBay   Google   IPO   Jim Friedland   PayPal   Peter Thiel   Skype   Visa  

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StumbleUpon Independent Again, Free From eBay

Two years after eBay Inc. purchased online recommendation service StumbleUpon for $75 million, the founders and an investor who sold the start-up have bought it back with the help of two venture capital firms.

The acquisition or should it be called a reverse exit or an un-acquisition, brings the company back to its founders, Garrett Camp and Geoff Smith, as well as original investor Ram Shriram of Sherpalo Ventures. Venture firms Accel Partners and August Capital helped fund the deal, whose terms weren’t disclosed.

StumbleUpon, which helps people discover and share online content, never fully connected with eBay since its May 2007 acquisition. The same could also be said about Ebay’s Internet telephony company Skype Technologies, whose founders are reportedly interested in buying it back after selling it to eBay for $2.6 billion in 2005.

Key to the StumbleUpon deal for investors was that the company had operated relatively independent of eBay and thus remained essentially a start-up, according to David Hornik, partner at August Capital, an early-stage technology investor.

“The operations of the company remained independent and continued to be run by the original founders and managed as a start-up,” Hornik said. “So when there was an opportunity to spin the company back out and give it an opportunity to continue to innovate and grow, it struck me as a great early-stage investment. It had the opportunity to stay in ‘suspended animation’ and now we’re able to pull it out and be able to get back to the basics of building a company.”

Founded in 2001, Stumbleupon raised just $1.5 million from original investors, who made out with a major multiple in the company’s original exit.

Those shareholders included Shriram, a former Google Inc. executive, and other investors who did not participate in the latest deals: First Round Capital and angels including Mitch Kapor, founder of Lotus Development Corp. For First Round, that deal generated a return of more than 10 times First Round’s undisclosed investment, the firm previously told VentureWire.

Hornik believes there will be a number of these types of spin-outs or buybacks to come.

“In economic times like these companies have to rationalize all sorts of opportunities where they acquired a company and it appeared to make sense at the time, but in retrospect it didn’t,” Hornik said. “There are opportunities then to spin those companies out. I suspect there will be plenty of other larger companies that have smaller divisions or business lines that no longer make sense to their core businesses. Investors will be smart to take a look at those.”

Hornik, who declined to say whether eBay is retaining a stake in the company, said he believes StumbleUpon has a number of growth opportunities, and described it as one of the “handful of really interesting companies that brought energy and excitement of consumers back during the rebirth of the Internet.”

StumbleUpon says in that in recent months it has more than 7.4 million users per month delivering 425 million recommendations to the Web site per month. Founded in 2001 in Calgary, StumbleUpon had about 2.3 million users who delivered about 5 million new recommendations at the time of the eBay acquisition.

Now that StumbleUpon is once again independent, the question for investors is who will eventually buy the company down the road. Google Inc. was rumored to also have been interested in acquiring the company in 2007.

But just before the StumbleUpon acquisition by eBay was announced, Google released a feature on its Google Toolbar that took users directly to a recommended site when they clicked an icon with dice on it. That feature is similar to StumbleUpon’s functionality, though unlike StumbleUpon it isn’t known as a standalone application with its own independent following.

Source.

Filed under  //   Accel Partners   August Capital   Calgary   David Hornik   eBay   First Round Capital   Garrett Camp   Geoff Smith   Google   Google Toolbar   Lotus Development Corp.   Mitch Kapor   Ram Shriram   Sherpalo Ventures   Skype Technologies   StumbleUpon  

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What's the Deal with Twitter?

What’s the big deal with Twitter? The online instant update service has become a media sensation and a supposed target for the likes of Google and Facebook. But is it an over-hyped flash in the pan or a real business opportunity? The answer could be a bit of each.

Twitter lets people or organisations send messages to “followers”, fans, clients, employees or anyone who signs up. The updates, thoughts or reactions arrive instantly via cell phone or computer updates. They’re limited to 140 characters each, so pithiness is vital. All but one of the sentences in this article qualify.

Twitter’s 8m users run the gamut from lovelorn teenagers to celebrities like Britney Spears to the New York Times. The last of these has more than 500,000 followers receiving its story links and news updates. Some members of the US Congress use Twitter to fill in their constituents.

A few have even been spotted tapping away on their mobile phones in the middle of President Barack Obama’s speeches. The celebrity presence has drawn millions of users and driven media attention, but it can seem pretty inane. British actor Stephen Fry has 382,000 followers tracking updates of his peculiar daily minutiae. One example: “Me in a sarong. The freedom and ease ... Mmmm could get to like x”.

But scratch the surface, and Twitter does have potentially significant features. For a start, it’s a burgeoning social networking site. That means its membership or followership is both growing and sticky. It benefits from a network effect as more of people’s friends and colleagues sign up, their own incentive to join increases. Then it’s just a question of finding a way to make money from the traffic.

That may have eluded Twitter itself so far, but it could be what makes it interesting for potential acquirers. One key concept is real-time search, potentially a real technological advance. Google, Yahoo and Microsoft search engines work, generally speaking, with old material. A search of Twitter could be made to yield almost real-time information on news, events and users’ opinions.

A search could track reactions to a just-released G20 communiqué, or employees’ instant responses to a company announcement. Twitter could also theoretically be used to analyse trends, almost to create real-time opinion polls.

Twitter also has one other thing few companies except Google have achieved so quickly. It has become a verb. Twittering, the sending of “tweets”, has become second nature to its users. There’s already a “twitiquette” for using the service, and some people are trying their hand at “twiterature”, also known as “twitlit”.

That could all help explain why Google might consider paying more than $250m for Twitter, as technology blog Techcrunch suggested last week. A few months ago, news reports also suggested Facebook was interested. Either company could conceivably harness Twitter for profit by selling custom advertising based on a user’s current activities or location, for instance.

For now, though, Twitter is nothing but potential from a business perspective. The website’s unique visitors for February 2009 were up nearly fifteen-fold from a year earlier. But the service has only just started trying to bring in revenues, let alone earn money. Meanwhile, its investors have sunk $57m into the company, including a $35m injection which valued it at $250m just two months ago.

So Twitter seems poised right on the line between Silicon Valley pipe-dream and the Next Big Thing. Its fame isn’t yet accompanied by any level of financial success. And its big weakness is that, in theory, another group of Stanford engineers could easily make a competing or better service.

But its story thus far does eerily echo that of another Silicon Valley hotshot: Google. And that may be the most important reason why Twitter’s hype, while excessive, is worth…well, following.

Source.

Filed under  //   Facebook   Google   Microsoft   Techcrunch   Tweets   Twitter   Yahoo  

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